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Frequently asked questions

HIVE lets you configure autonomous agents that trade prediction markets on Solana on your behalf. This page explains, in plain terms, what an agent does, how to launch one, and how your money is protected. For the full architecture, read the whitepaper; for real, reconciled results, see the transparency page.

The basics

What HIVE is, and what it isn't.

What is HIVE?

HIVE is a platform for autonomous trading agents that operate on prediction markets on the Solana blockchain. You set the rules and fund an agent; the agent then continuously scans open markets, evaluates them, and places trades within the limits you configured, 24/7, without you having to watch the screen.

HIVE is a software provider, not a broker, exchange, custodian, or investment adviser. It never takes control of your money, and it is not a counterparty to any trade. Trades execute on third-party protocols on Solana.

What are prediction markets?

A prediction market lets people trade on the outcome of a future event ("will X happen by date Y?"). You buy a YES or NO outcome contract at a price that reflects the market's current estimate of the probability. If the market resolves in your favour, the contract pays out; if not, it expires worthless. HIVE's agents trade these YES/NO outcome contracts, denominated in USDC.

Which markets do agents trade on?

Agents trade on Jupiter Predict, Jupiter's prediction-market product on Solana mainnet. Market pricing, resolution, and settlement are determined by those third-party protocols, not by HIVE.

Is there a token?

No. HIVE has no token. The business model is a transparent fee: a small fee on deposits and a small fee on realized profit only. See Fees.

How agents work

An agent is a small program that works one repeating loop: scan, analyze, decide, and settle.

What does an agent actually do?

Each agent repeats one pipeline:

  • Scan the current set of open markets.
  • Analyze each candidate — estimate the true probability of the outcome and compare it to the price the market is offering. The gap is the "edge".
  • Quality gate — accept only candidates that clear a strict edge bar and a liquidity bar (a market it can realistically exit, not just enter). Most markets are rejected. The product is selectivity, not activity.
  • Place a trade for the few that pass, sized within your configured caps.
  • Monitor & settle — track open positions and, at resolution, claim wins and record losses. State is always reconciled against the blockchain.
Does an agent start trading as soon as I create it?

No. Every new agent starts in monitor-only mode: it runs its analysis and tracks markets but does not trade real money. It begins trading only when you explicitly arm it — a deliberate, real-money confirmation. There is no path by which creating an agent silently starts spending your funds.

How does an agent decide what to trade?

Entry is a multi-step decision, not one model's say-so. An Analyst step estimates the probability of an outcome and the reasoning behind it. An independent Skeptic step then red-teams that proposal — it is told to attack the trade and surface why the market's price might be the correct one. A trade must survive the red-team before an agent will enter. Each agent also runs under a hard daily budget for this analysis, so its costs cannot run away.

Can I customize how my agent behaves?

Yes. At launch you build a Custom agent, where every setting is visible and yours — but with structural guardrails so you can't build a self-harming configuration: a locked daily analysis budget, an edge floor (you can't drop the quality gate below a minimum edge), and settings that make contradictory combinations impossible to save in the first place.

HIVE also has preset "instincts" (temperaments such as balanced, moonshot, and sniper). These run today on HIVE's own house agents; they become selectable for everyone once their real, published record justifies it.

What happens if I pause my agent?

Pausing stops an agent from opening new positions. It does not abandon the positions it already holds: the monitoring loop keeps running, so a paused agent still gets its open wins claimed and its losses recorded. Your settings are also live: a change you make in the dashboard reaches the running agent within seconds.

Launch an agent in 5 steps

From your first wallet to a live, armed agent — and exactly where the real-money line sits.

1

Set up your savings wallet

Your savings wallet is your protected reserve, secured by your passkey. It is the money an agent can never touch. Everything downstream is designed around keeping this wallet out of reach.

2

Create an agent

Configure a Custom agent — its strategy, caps, and limits — with guardrails that prevent a self-contradictory or self-harming setup. The agent is created in monitor-only mode and does not trade yet.

3

Fund the trading wallet

Move funds from savings into the agent's separate trading wallet (USDC to trade with, plus a little SOL for network gas). This is the only money at trading risk. A deposit fee applies (see Fees).

4

Arm the agent

Arming is a deliberate, explicit confirmation that you want the agent to trade real money. Until you arm it, every trade path short-circuits to a no-op — the agent stays monitor-only. This is the real-money line.

5

Armed & live

The agent runs its scan-and-settle loops on its own. You watch progress in the dashboard, adjust settings live, and can pause or withdraw at any time. Pausing still lets open positions settle.

Custody & safety

The single most important idea in HIVE: your savings are structurally out of reach of both the agent and us.

The core guarantee: your savings wallet is controlled solely by your passkey. The agent's key is never a signer on it. HIVE cannot access, move, freeze, or recover funds in your savings wallet — and neither can the agent.
What does "non-custodial" mean here?

It means HIVE never holds your private keys or your passkey, and never takes custody of your savings. Your passkey lives on your device. Because the platform cannot move your savings, it also cannot be compelled to, and it cannot lose them for you in a hack of our servers.

How are savings kept separate from trading?

Every agent uses two separate wallets:

  • Trading wallet — the agent's key can spend from this. It holds the funds you chose to put at risk. This is how the agent trades.
  • Savings wallet — rooted in your passkey. The agent's key is never a signer on it, so the agent is structurally incapable of touching it.

Funding only ever flows one way under your control — from savings into trading — and that direction requires your passkey. The agent can never pull money back out of savings.

What if I send funds directly to my agent's address?

Always fund through the app so the deposit is tracked. If you send funds directly to an agent's trading-wallet address, they bypass the deposit ledger — so the agent holds them out of trading (its tradable budget is bounded to what you deposited through the app; untracked funds are never traded).

  • SOL and other tokens sent directly are detected and can be returned from the agent's page — you pay only the network fee.
  • USDC and other stablecoins are the agent's trading currency, so a direct-sent stablecoin can't be told apart from traded capital and isn't auto-listed for return. It's still held out of trading and safe. For stablecoin recovery, contact support@hiveagents.tech.
What actually stops the agent from touching savings?

The savings guarantee rests on three independent layers, each of which would have to fail on its own:

  • Non-extractable signing key. The agent's signing key is generated inside a hardware key-management service and can never be exported — there is no "hot key" to leak.
  • Policy confinement. The wallet infrastructure (Turnkey) binds the agent's key to a narrow, fixed scope: it may only sign for its own trading wallet, and only for an allowlisted set of programs. Anything touching savings is denied at the policy layer, before the runtime does anything.
  • Code-level savings wall. HIVE's own runtime independently checks every money-moving transaction before it is signed and re-verifies after it lands that savings was untouched.

For the full detail, see the custody section of the whitepaper.

So can I still lose money?

Yes — money in a trading wallet is at genuine risk. The savings wall protects savings; it does not protect the funds you deliberately moved into an agent to trade with. Those can be lost to bad trades. Prediction markets are volatile and speculative. Only fund an agent with money you are comfortable putting at risk. Nothing here is financial advice, and no outcome is promised.

Has the custody design been audited?

HIVE is an early-stage experiment. The savings guarantee has been validated by HIVE's own adversarial testing, but it has not yet had an independent third-party security audit. We say so plainly, and we will note it on the transparency page when that changes.

Fees

Two simple fees, disclosed at each action. Your principal is never charged.

FeeAmountWhen
Deposit fee5%When you fund an agent (charged on the deposit, not on your principal balance).
Profit fee2%On realized profit only, when profit is withdrawn back to savings. Never on principal.
Network & market feesvariesSolana network gas and Jupiter market fees are charged by those networks, not by HIVE.
Can you show me an example?

Deposit 1 SOL into an agent and about 0.95 SOL reaches its trading wallet (the 5% deposit fee). Later, if you withdraw $100 of realized profit back to savings, the fee is $2 (2% of the profit). Your original principal is always fee-free.

Are there management or withdrawal fees?

No management fee, no withdrawal fee, and no lockup. The only HIVE fees are the deposit fee and the profit fee above. Fees are disclosed at each action and can change with notice, but changes never apply retroactively.

Withdrawals

You are always in control of your own funds.

How do I get my money back?

You can move funds from an agent's trading wallet back to your savings wallet from the dashboard. The 2% profit fee applies only to realized profit in that withdrawal; your principal returns fee-free. From your savings wallet — which only your passkey controls — you can move funds out on-chain whenever you like.

Can HIVE ever block my withdrawal?

Your savings wallet is controlled by your passkey, not by HIVE, so HIVE cannot freeze or seize it. HIVE may suspend platform features for security, legal, or operational reasons, but that never removes your ability to withdraw your own funds. Note that blockchain transactions are irreversible, so double-check addresses before sending.

Risk & limits

HIVE runs under a small set of non-negotiable rules the runtime enforces.

What limits keep an agent from over-extending?
  • Drawdown kill criteria. Each agent has a preset drawdown limit; if it breaches that limit it is retired, not given "another chance".
  • Bounded exposure. Live exposure is bounded by the tightest of your configured limits — a maximum number of open positions, a dollar cap on capital at risk, and a fixed budget — and is always floored by the actual cash in the wallet.
  • Per-agent deposit cap. During this live experiment, each agent is capped at 35 SOL of total deposits — a hard ceiling on how much any single agent can hold.
  • Circuit breakers. On anomalies it can't reconcile, an agent quarantines itself into a durable halt that survives restart and is only lifted by explicit owner action.
Is HIVE proven profitable?

No, and we don't claim it is. HIVE is a live experiment. Prediction markets are broadly efficient, and finding a durable edge is hard. HIVE promises no return, no win rate, and no projected track record. The only performance figures that exist are the real, reconciled ones — every trade, wins and losses, unedited — on the transparency page. Do not infer a forward expectation from them.

Common questions

A few more things people ask.

What happens if I lose my passkey?

Because HIVE never holds your passkey, it cannot recover it for you. Losing your passkey may mean permanent loss of access to your savings wallet. Safeguard it the way you would any wallet credential.

Who can use HIVE?

You must be of legal age in your jurisdiction and legally permitted to use prediction markets there. HIVE is not available where such use is unlawful, or to anyone subject to sanctions. You are responsible for your own local legal and tax obligations. See the Terms.

What data does HIVE collect?

Broadly: your email and authentication identifiers (via Clerk), the public Solana addresses of the wallets created for you, your agents' configurations and trading activity, and standard server logs. HIVE never holds your private keys or passkey and does not use advertising trackers or sell your data. Full detail is in the Privacy Policy.

Which providers does HIVE rely on?

Authentication is handled by Clerk, wallet infrastructure by Turnkey, and hosting by Vercel and Hetzner; market and blockchain data come from Solana RPC providers and Jupiter. Each receives only what its function requires.

How do I get started or get help?

HIVE is rolling out access gradually. You can create an account and launch your first agent, and reach the team any time at support@hiveagents.tech.

Still have questions?

Read the full architecture in the whitepaper, watch real results on the transparency page, or get notified when access opens.